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Home»Golf News»2025 BMW Championship predictions, picks, odds: Ludvig Aberg among longshots to back in FedEx Cup Playoffs
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2025 BMW Championship predictions, picks, odds: Ludvig Aberg among longshots to back in FedEx Cup Playoffs

August 12, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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The FedEx Cup Playoffs continue this week with the 2025 BMW Championship as the second leg of the three-weekend-long postseason tournament. Justin Rose won last week’s FedEx St. Jude Championship despite +10000 odds and being one of the longest longshots in the field. Could Rose produce a massive payday again for anyone using him on online sports betting sites when making 2025 BMW Championship bets? Only 50 golfers remain in the FedEx Cup Playoffs, meaning it’s down to the very best in the world. Scottie Scheffler is the +230 favorite, followed by Rory McIlroy (+700) in the latest 2025 BMW Championship odds.

The BMW Championship 2025 tees off from Caves Valley Golf Club near Baltimore, Maryland, starting on Thursday, August 14. Rose has +4000 odds after his upset victory last weekend and defeating J.J. Spaun after three playoff holes. Spaun has +3000 odds to win this weekend, and after his strong showing in the first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, the model has Spaun as one of its top longshots for 2025 BMW Championship bets. New users at FanDuel Sportsbook can use the latest FanDuel promo code to get $300 in bonus bets if their bet wins, and take advantage of one of the best sportsbook promos:

Now that the 2025 BMW Championship field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and revealed its longshot betting picks. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest DraftKings promo code, bet365 bonus code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code. At bet365, new users get  $150 in bonus bets with the placement of a $5+ bet. Claim that offer here.

See also  2023 Tournament of Champions predictions, expert picks, odds, field rankings, golf best bets at Kapalua

Ludvig Aberg (25-1)

The 25-year-old finished T-9 last week to snap a streak of some underwhelming golf for the young phenom. It was only his second top-10 result over his last 10 tournaments, but also his second top-10 finish over the last three events. Aberg won the 2023 RSM Classic in just his 15th career PGA Tour event, and he finished second in the 2024 Masters in his first career major. Aberg can create some separation for himself off the tee, ranking 10th in strokes gained: off the tee, and in the top 25 in total driving and driving distance on the PGA Tour this year. The 25-year-old is listed at 25-1 odds at FanDuel, and the latest FanDuel promo code is giving new users $300 in bonus bets if their first bet wins of $5 or more wins. 

J.J. Spaun (30-1)

Losing any playoff is a heartbreaker, but doing so after three playoff holes and a potential $3.6 million payout can be especially challenging. But Spaun’s $2.16 million for second place isn’t bad for a weekend of work either, and the model expects him to be a presence toward the top of the leaderboard yet again at the 2025 BMW Championship. The 34-year-old won his first career major this year, winning the U.S. Open at +12500 odds as one of the longest longshots to ever win a major. Despite being at significantly lower odds than his U.S. Open victory, the model still projects value in Spaun this weekend. He’s third in the FedEx Cup standings and ranks seventh on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained this year. BetMGM lists Spaun at 30-1 odds, and the latest BetMGM promo code gives new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their first bet loses.

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Ben Griffin (40-1)

The 29-year-old has been a boom-or-bust golfer the majority of the PGA Tour season, and that’s the type of upside you want when seeking a longshot winner. Griffin has two victories this year, most recently winning the Charles Schwab Challenge on May 25, and he finished second a week later at The Memorial Tournament. He finished T-9 last week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship after finishing T-11 at the Wyndham Championship, following missing the cut at his prior two tournaments. He’s finished fourth or better in five tournaments this year and is 11th on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained. Griffin has 40-1 odds at FanDuel as another option to play the latest FanDuel promo code and earn $300 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.

More 2025 BMW Championship picks

You’ve seen the latest longshots from the model. Now, see the BMW Championship leaderboard, including forecasted finishes for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, and more. Visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, including the last four Masters, the past two PGA Championships, and three majors in 2024 and 2025.



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Robert MacIntyre wins a ‘beautiful homecoming’ at Dunhill Links in Scotland after the Ryder Cup.

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